Tuesday 20 September 2016

The Economy Puzzle

Is Pakistan’s economy doing well?

economy-puzzleYes, it is. Pakistan has successfully exited the IMF program with high marks from that institution including the determination by that institution that Pakistan’s economy now has resilience and can withstand ‘mild external shocks’. Inflation is way down and likely to stay at 6% or lower. The current account deficit has been reduced from 4% to just 1%. Fiscal gap has been reduced to 4.3% from a whopping 8.2%. Foreign exchange reserves hover between 20 to 22 billion dollars and remittances are more than 19 billion dollars. Growth is at 4.7% and may go higher. Power generation is expected to rise dramatically by 2018 because of all the projects underway. CPEC related activity is expected to spur medium and long term growth. Government is likely to increase public development spending opening up the job market. Pakistan is looking forward to increase domestic and foreign private investment with interest rates at their lowest.

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